CALI-GRAF

Modeling SCE Net Billing (NEM 3.0) Hour by Hour in Cali-Graf

Cali-Graf, the free solar design and proposal app built by Cali Energy, a Los Angeles solar and roofing contractor, calculates an SCE bill with solar under the Net Billing Tariff (NEM 3.0) on TOU-D-PRIME, for every hour of the year. Power taken from the grid is paid at the full PRIME price of its hour; power sent to the grid earns that hour's export price, from the CPUC's avoided-cost tables and locked for nine years from the year the system is turned on. The two are not netted against each other. Each month the export credit pays down the energy part of the bill and rolls forward; once a year a true-up settles the energy, and unused export credit is lost. Because the hour matters, Cali-Graf builds the home's hourly usage from its bills and shows the spread of modeled outcomes next to the middle forecast.

Updated October 16, 2026 · Last fact-checked October 16, 2026 · By the Cali Energy team · Northridge, CA · CSLB #1032379 (B, C-10, C-39) — verify license

Why the hour decides an SCE solar bill

Under the old net metering, a kWh sent to the grid was worth about as much as one taken from it. Under the Net Billing Tariff, it is worth far less at most hours: export prices are highest on summer evenings and low at midday, when most solar is made. So a yearly kWh total says little about the bill — what matters is how much solar the home uses as it is made, and what it buys back in the 4–9 PM peak. How the tariff works, and what exports are worth by year, is covered in NEM 3.0 explained, NEM 3.0 export credits explained and how SCE solar billing works.

The bill today and the bill with solar

The two bills are calculated on different plans, as SCE bills them:

Bill todayBill with solar
Rate planThe plan on the customer's bill: TOU-D-4-9PM, TOU-D-5-8PM, TOU-D-PRIME or Domestic (D), with CARE if the bill has itTOU-D-PRIME under the Net Billing Tariff
How it's pricedThe plan's prices on the home's usageImports at PRIME prices by hour, exports at SCE's hourly export prices
BillingMonthly, by the customer's billing periodsMonthly, plus a yearly true-up

The customer's current plan is picked from the bill in Usage; it sets what they pay today and therefore how much solar saves. Every SCE home also gets its baseline region from its city, shown under the address — for example SCE · SCE generation · Baseline region 9.

Getting the customer's plan right

The bill today — and so the savings — depends on the plan printed on the customer's SCE bill, next to the charges; a CARE customer also has a CARE discount line. Entering SCE's default plan instead of reading the bill is the most common way to get the savings wrong.

Plan on the billIn short
TOU-D-4-9PMTime-of-use with the most expensive hours from 4 to 9 PM — SCE's default for most homes
TOU-D-5-8PMA shorter, pricier peak from 5 to 8 PM
TOU-D-PRIMEFor homes with an electric car, a battery or a heat pump: cheap off-peak hours and a daily charge; Cali-Graf assumes the car charges at night
D (Domestic)No time-of-use: the price rises as the home uses more in a month

FERA, Medical Baseline and the all-electric baseline allowance can't be set yet; for those customers the bill today and the savings come out higher than in reality, which is worth saying out loud. How the plans compare for a given household is in SCE time-of-use plans compared.

Hour by hour

For each of the year's hours, Cali-Graf compares what the panels make with what the home uses:

  1. Solar used at home — the part of production the home uses as it's made. It never reaches the meter, so that power simply isn't bought.
  2. Taken from the grid — paid at the full TOU-D-PRIME price of that hour.
  3. Sent to the grid — earns the export price for that hour, from the CPUC's avoided-cost tables and locked for nine years from the year the system is turned on.

Imports and exports in the same month are priced separately, not subtracted from each other. The production behind it is modeled hour by hour for each roof face, from a typical weather year and the shade at each panel — see hour-by-hour production per roof face.

Try it on an SCE home whose bills you have: compare the bill without solar with the printed one, then add a battery and watch the evening hours change.

Month by month and the true-up

Each month, the export credit pays down the energy part of the bill, and what's left rolls forward to the next month. It doesn't pay SCE's daily Base Services Charge, other fixed charges or taxes, so those remain on every bill.

Once a year, at the true-up, the energy for the year is settled, and unused export credit is lost. The yearly bill in the result includes the true-up; when it comes to a dollar or more, All numbers shows Annual true-up included: … and the note under Numbers by period gives the amount.

Clean Power Alliance homes

In Clean Power Alliance cities, SCE bills the delivery and CPA bills the generation, each with its own export credit, carry-forward and true-up — and the two credits don't pay each other's charges. Cali-Graf calculates both sides and uses the city's default CPA plan.

Where the hourly usage comes from

SCE bills say how much a home used each month, not at which hours — and under Net Billing the hours change the bill. Cali-Graf fills them in three ways, from most to least exact:

InputWhat Cali-Graf doesResult
A Green Button fileUses the home's own hourly usageOne result
Monthly bills with time-of-use kWhAlso matches the on-peak, mid-peak, off-peak and super off-peak split printed on SCE billsA narrower spread
Monthly billsFits 30 similar Los Angeles homes from NLR (formerly NREL) ResStock to the billsThe middle result and a spread

The tiles show the middle of the 30 results; under the bills, All numbers gives the spread, for example likely $1,180–$1,420 (P20–P80): the middle six of every ten modeled patterns fall inside it. It is a spread of scenarios that all match the bills, not a guaranteed interval. For customers on TOU-D-PRIME, Cali-Graf picks similar homes with an electric car and assumes the car charges at night.

The proposal shows the middle forecast. When the spread is wide, tell the customer so: their real bill depends on when the household actually uses power, and on weather and future rates. A Green Button file or the time-of-use kWh from their bills narrows the usage part of it before they sign; a homeowner's guide to downloading the file is in Green Button data for a solar quote. How the profile is built is in where a Cali-Graf proposal's numbers come from.

What drives the savings

Under Net Billing, savings come from solar the home uses as it's made and from what a battery moves into the 4–9 PM peak, more than from yearly kWh. All numbers → How solar is used shows both sides:

  • Solar used by home — the share of production the home uses directly;
  • Home powered by solar — the share of the home's usage covered by solar.

A battery charged from solar and discharged in the evening turns low-value exports into avoided peak purchases, which is why it can change an SCE bill noticeably — unlike an LADWP bill, where 1:1 netting leaves it little to do. The battery's modes are explained in the help center's battery operating modes, and the case for and against one in do I need a battery with NEM 3.0. Oversizing is a weak lever: SCE pays little for surplus power, so the result warns when a system makes more than the home uses.

The Battery section in Cali-Graf with the Operating mode menu open: Time-of-use holds energy for peak hours, Self-powered uses solar any time, Backup only keeps the battery for outages
For an SCE home, the mode is where the savings come from: Time-of-use holds midday solar for the 4–9 PM peak. Shown on the demo home's battery list.

Checked against SCE bills and tariffs

Real SCE bills recalculated on the customer's own plan match most to the cent, and Cali-Graf's SCE and Clean Power Alliance rate tables match the printed tariff sheets. The proposal presents its numbers as estimates. Details in how accurate Cali-Graf is.

Which plans and discounts are covered

  • FERA, Medical Baseline and the all-electric baseline allowance can't be set yet; for those customers the bill today — and the savings — can come out higher than in reality.
  • The bill with solar is always on TOU-D-PRIME; other plans with solar aren't modeled.
  • For CPA homes, only the city's default CPA plan.

Frequently asked

How does Cali-Graf calculate NEM 3.0 savings for SCE homes?

For every hour of the year it prices power taken from the grid at the TOU-D-PRIME price of that hour and power sent to the grid at SCE's hourly export price, without netting the two, then applies the monthly credit and the yearly true-up.

Which SCE rate plan does Cali-Graf use for the bill with solar?

TOU-D-PRIME under the Net Billing Tariff. The bill today uses the customer's own plan — TOU-D-4-9PM, TOU-D-5-8PM, TOU-D-PRIME or Domestic, with CARE if they have it.

What can SCE export credits pay for?

Only the energy part of the bill, month by month. They don't pay the Base Services Charge, other fixed charges or taxes, and credit left at the yearly true-up is lost.

Why does Cali-Graf show a range for SCE bills?

Monthly bills don't show at which hours a home uses power, and under Net Billing the hours change the bill. Cali-Graf calculates 30 hourly patterns that match the bills and shows the middle one with the P20–P80 spread of those scenarios. A Green Button file replaces the patterns with the home's own hours; weather and future rates still vary.

Does Cali-Graf model Clean Power Alliance customers?

Yes. It calculates the SCE delivery side and the CPA generation side separately, each with its own export credit and true-up, using the city's default CPA plan.

How accurate is Cali-Graf's SCE bill?

Real SCE bills recalculated on the customer's own plan match, most to the cent, and the SCE and Clean Power Alliance rate tables match the printed tariff sheets.

Related reading

Sources & methodology

Run your next SCE customer hour by hour

Pick the plan from the customer's bill, add a Green Button file or the time-of-use kWh, design the roof and see the bill with solar under Net Billing, with or without a battery. Free, with daily fair-use limits.

Prepared by Cali Energy, October 16, 2026. This article is for general educational purposes only and is not legal, tax, financial, engineering, or utility advice. Rates, incentives, codes, permit requirements, equipment specifications, prices, and program terms may change; figures and timelines are estimates, not guarantees. Confirm current requirements with the applicable utility, AHJ, program administrator, manufacturer, or a licensed professional. See our Content Disclaimer. Cali Energy · 19201 Parthenia St, Unit E, Northridge, CA 91324 · CSLB #1032379 (B, C-10, C-39)